3. Germany: Additional Investment Needs Require Reform of the Debt Brake
- Katja Rietzler (author)
- Andrew Watt (author)
Export Metadata
- ONIX 3.1
- ONIX 3.0
- ONIX 2.1
- CSV
- JSON
- OCLC KBART
- BibTeX
- CrossRef DOI depositCannot generate record: This work does not have any ISBNs
- MARC 21 RecordCannot generate record: MARC records are not available for chapters
- MARC 21 MarkupCannot generate record: MARC records are not available for chapters
- MARC 21 XMLCannot generate record: MARC records are not available for chapters
Title | 3. Germany |
---|---|
Subtitle | Additional Investment Needs Require Reform of the Debt Brake |
Contributor | Katja Rietzler (author) |
Andrew Watt (author) | |
DOI | https://doi.org/10.11647/obp.0434.04 |
Landing page | https://www.openbookpublishers.com/books/10.11647/obp.0434/chapters/10.11647/obp.0434.04 |
License | https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/ |
Copyright | Katja Rietzler; Andrew Watt; |
Publisher | Open Book Publishers |
Published on | 2024-12-11 |
Long abstract | In recent quarters, German public investment has increased slightly in real terms. However, this development is driven largely by special effects such as the reclassification of public transport companies and increased military spending. Additional investment needs are estimated to be as high as 1.4% of GDP, and cannot be met without a substantial reform of the debt brake. Economists have recently come up with numerous reform proposals, but there is still no political majority for a reform. While European fiscal rules do not require much f iscal tightening in Germany, they do constrain the use of credit to finance the necessary additional public investment. Instead of a big push, the more likely scenario is continued incremental progress, or “muddling through”. |
Page range | pp. 45–58 |
Print length | 14 pages |
Language | English (Original) |
Katja Rietzler
(author)Katja Rietzler is Head of the Unit of Fiscal Policy at the Macroeconomic Policy Institute (IMK), part of the Hans-Böckler Foundation. She holds a PhD from the Freie Universität, Berlin. Among other topics, her research focuses on fiscal issues of the municipalities, the German tax-system, public investment needs, and fiscal rules. In addition, she is a member of the IMK’s modelling team. As an expert she regularly participates in parliamentary hearings on issues such as tax legislation, annual budgets, or the debt brake and its implementation.
Andrew Watt
(author)Andrew Watt is General Director, European Trade Union Institute (ETUI), and former Head of the Unit of European Economic Policy at the Macroeconomic Policy Institute (IMK), part of the Hans-Böckler Foundation. He holds a PhD from the University of Hamburg. His main research fields are European economic and employment policy and comparative political economy, with a particular interest in the interaction between wage-setting and macroeconomic policy. Recent work has focused on reform of the economic governance of the euro area, emphasizing the need to coordinate monetary, fiscal, and wage policy in order to achieve balanced growth and favourable employment outcomes. He has served as advisor to numerous European and national institutions, including the European.
- Bardt, H., S. Dullien, M. Hüther, and K. Rietzler (2020) “For a Sound Fiscal Policy: Enabling Public Investment”, IMK Report 152e, March, https://www.imk-boeckler.de/fpdf/HBS-007619/p_imk_report_152e_2020.pdf
- Braun, H. (2021). “Das ist der Plan für Deutschland nach Corona”, Handelsblatt, January 26, https://www.handelsblatt.com/meinung/gastbeitraege/gastkommentar-das-ist-der-plan-fuer-deutschland-nach-corona/26850508.html
- Bundesministerium der Finanzen, BMF (2024a) “Vorläufiger Abschluss des Bundeshaushalts 2023”, Monatsbericht des BMF, January, https://www.bundesfinanzministerium.de/Monatsberichte/2024/01/Inhalte/Kapitel-3-Analysen/3-2-vorlaeufiger-abschluss-bundeshaushalt-2023.html
- Bundesministerium der Finanzen, BMF (2024b) “Abweichungen des Ergebnisses der Steuerschätzung Oktober 2024 vom Ergebnis der Steuerschätzung Mai 2024 ”, Anlage 2 zu Pressemitteilung 15 des BMF, https://www.bundesfinanzministerium.de/Content/DE/Downloads/Steuern/ergebnis-167-steuerschaetzung-02.pdf?__blob=publicationFile&v=6
- Bundesrechnungshof (2023) “Bericht nach § 88 Absatz 2 BHO an das Bundesministerium der Finanzen zur Steuerung und Kontrolle der Umsetzung des Deutschen Aufbau- und Resilienzplans”, Bonn, December 8, https://www.bundesrechnungshof.de/SharedDocs/Downloads/DE/Berichte/2024/umsetzung-darp-volltext.pdf?__blob=publicationFile&v=3
- Darvas, Z., L. Welslau, and J. Zettelmeyer (2024) “The Implications of the European Union’s New Fiscal Rules”, Policy Brief 10/24, https://www.bruegel.org/system/files/2024-07/PB 10 2024.pdf
- Dullien, S., T. Bauermann, L. Endres, A. Herzog-Stein, K. Rietzler, and S. Tober (2024a) “Schuldenbremse reformieren, Transformation beschleunigen. Wirtschaftspolitische Herausforderungen 2024”, IMK Report 187, January, https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/283062/1/p-imk-report-187-2024.pdf
- Dullien, S., S. Gerards-Iglesias, M. Hüther, and K. Rietzler (2024b) “Herausforderungen für die Schuldenbremse. Investitionsbedarfe in der Infrastruktur und für die Transformation”, IMK Policy Brief 168, https://econpapers.repec.org/paper/imkpbrief/168-2024.htm
- Dullien, S., E. Jürgens, and S. Watzka (2020c) “Public Investment in Germany: The Need for a Big Push”, in F. Cerniglia and F. Saraceno (eds), A European Public Investment Outlook. Cambridge: Open Book Publishers, pp. 49–62, https://doi.org/10.11647/obp.0222.03
- Deutsche Bundesbank (2022) “Die Schuldenbremse des Bundes: Möglichkeiten einer stabilitätsorientierten Weiterentwicklung”, Deutsche Bundesbank, Monatsbericht, April.
- European Commission (2024a) “European Economic Forecast Spring 2024’, Institutional Paper 286, May, https://economy-finance.ec.europa.eu/document/download/c63e0da2-c6d6-4d13-8dcb-646b0d1927a4_en?filename=ip286_en.pdf
- European Commission (2024b) “2024 Country Report – Germany”, Commission Staff Working Document, SWD(2024) 605, June 19, https://economy-finance.ec.europa.eu/document/download/0826d6c6-4c97-44be-8b9e-1a0b5c4361c8_en?filename=SWD_2024_605_1_EN_Germany.pdf
- Fuest, C., M. Hüther, and J. Südekum (2024) “Folgen des Verfassungsurteils: Investitionen schützen. Vorteile eines Sondervermögens”, Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung, January 12, https://www.faz.net/aktuell/wirtschaft/folgen-des-haushaltsurteils-investitionen-schuetzen-19440915.html
- Hentze, T., and B. Kauder (2024) “Reformansätze für die Schuldenbremse”, ifo Schnelldienst 2/2024, 13–15, https://www.ifo.de/DocDL/sd-2024-02-haushaltspolitik-reform-schuldenbremse.pdf
- Hüther, M. (2024) “Ein gesamtstaatlicher »Transformations- und Infrastrukturfonds« zur Stabilisierung der Schuldenbremse”, Wirtschaftsdienst 104(1): 14–20.
- International Monetary Fund, IMF (2023) “Germany. Staff Report for the 2023 Article IV Consultation”, June 28, IFO, https://www.imf.org/-/media/Files/Publications/CR/2023/English/1DEUEA2023001.ashx
- Paetz, C., and S. Watzka (2024) “The New Fiscal Rules: Another Round of Austerity for Europe?”, IMK Policy Brief 176.
- Raffer, C., and H. Scheller (2024) KfW Kommunalpanel 2024. Frankfurt am Main: Kreditanstalt für Wiederaufbau, https://www.kfw.de/PDF/Download-Center/Konzernthemen/Research/PDF-Dokumente-KfW-Kommunalpanel/KfW-Kommunalpanel-2024.pdf
- Rietzler, K., and A. Watt (2021) “Public Investment in Germany: Much More Needs to Be Done”, in F. Cerniglia, F. Saraceno, and A. Watt (eds), The Great Reset: 2021 European Public Investment Outlook. Cambridge: Open Book Publishers, pp. 47–62, https://doi.org/10.11647/OBP.0280.03
- Rietzler, K., and A. Watt (2022) “Public Investment in Germany: Squaring the Circle”, in F. Cerniglia and F. Saraceno (eds), Greening Europe—2022 European Public Investment Outlook. Cambridge: Open Book Publishers, pp. 41–53, https://doi.org/10.11647/OBP.0328.03
- Rietzler, K., A. Watt, and E. Jürgens (2023) “Germany Lacks Political Will to Finance Needed Public-Investment Boost”, in F. Cerniglia, F. Saraceno, and A. Watt (eds), Financing Investment in Times of High Public Debt–2023 European Public Investment Outlook. Cambridge: Open Book Publishers, pp. 51–68, https://doi.org/10.11647/OBP.0386.03
- Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung, SVR (2024) “Die Schuldenbremse nach dem BVerfG-Urteil: Flexibilität erhöhen – Stabilität wahren”, Policy Brief 1/2024, https://www.sachverstaendigenrat-wirtschaft.de/fileadmin/dateiablage/PolicyBrief/pb2024/Policy_Brief_2024_01.pdf
- Wissenschaftlicher Beirat beim BMWK (2023) Finanzierung von Staatsaufgaben: Herausforderungen und Empfehlungen für eine nachhaltige Finanzpolitik, Gutachten des Wissenschaftlichen Beirats beim Bundesministerium für Wirtschaft und Klimaschutz (BMWK). Berlin: BMWK, https://www.bmwk.de/Redaktion/DE/Publikationen/Ministerium/Veroeffentlichung-Wissenschaftlicher-Beirat/gutachten-wissenschaftlicher-beirat-finanzierung-von-staatsaufgaben.pdf?__blob=publicationFile&v=14